Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.

Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.

Is there "change" in the air?

Eisboch

On Mon, 20 Oct 2008 19:12:57 -0400, Eisboch wrote:

Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point
lead over McCain.

Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double
digit lead.

Is there "change" in the air?

Eisboch

A few polls had Obama with a double-digit lead. I don't think the
average of the polls was ever in the double-digit range. Besides, I'd
take the polls with a grain of salt this election cycle. On McCain's
side, there is the possibility of the "Bradley Factor". On Obama's side,
there's the land-line/cell phone debate, that and all the new voter
registrations that are breaking his way.

Still, I'd rather have Obama's chances. Most of the battleground states,
are tending his way, and Motana, Indiana, and North Dakota, all heavy
Bush states, are in play. If you are into following it daily, try these
sites:

http://electoral-vote.com

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...ama_vs_mccain/

Eisboch wrote:
Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.

Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.

Is there "change" in the air?

Eisboch



The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?

If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of
polls in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are
state the Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of
these state polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to
win the election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly
against him. All Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the
blue states and carry one of the larger red "swing" states. That will
give him 270 electoral votes. Game over.

Me? I'm waiting for my first McPalin trash robocall.

"Boater" wrote in message
...

Eisboch wrote:

Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.

Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.

Is there "change" in the air?

Eisboch



The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?

If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him. All
Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
votes. Game over.


If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. However, I agree, the
election is now his to lose.
I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
couple of weeks. How much is questionable.

On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
cycle. I suspect that bodes well for Obama.

It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.

Eisboch

On Oct 21, 3:20*am, "Eisboch" wrote:
"Boater" wrote in message

...



Eisboch wrote:
Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.

Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.

Is there "change" in the air?

Eisboch
The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?

If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him. All
Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
votes. Game over.

If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. *However, I agree, the
election is now his to lose.
I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
couple of weeks. *How much is questionable.

On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
cycle. *I suspect that bodes well for Obama.

It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.

Eisboch

Mac has a lead in a couple states as of yesterday. Ohio being one.

Tim wrote:
On Oct 21, 3:20 am, "Eisboch" wrote:
"Boater" wrote in message

...



Eisboch wrote:
Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.
Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.
Is there "change" in the air?
Eisboch
The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?
If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him. All
Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
votes. Game over.
If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. However, I agree, the
election is now his to lose.
I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
couple of weeks. How much is questionable.

On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
cycle. I suspect that bodes well for Obama.

It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.

Eisboch

Mac has a lead in a couple states as of yesterday. Ohio being one.

You think the McPalin Campaign of Hate and Division is going to carry
Ohio again?

On Oct 21, 7:43*am, Boater wrote:
Tim wrote:
On Oct 21, 3:20 am, "Eisboch" wrote:
"Boater" wrote in message

...

Eisboch wrote:
Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.
Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.
Is there "change" in the air?
Eisboch
The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?
If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him.. All
Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
votes. Game over.
If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. *However, I agree, the
election is now his to lose.
I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
couple of weeks. *How much is questionable.

On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
cycle. *I suspect that bodes well for Obama.

It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.

Eisboch

Mac has a lead in a couple states as of yesterday. Ohio being one.

You think the McPalin Campaign of Hate and Division is going to carry
Ohio again?- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

"Hate and Division?"

C'mon Harry. I really don't think you even believe that..

Tim wrote:
On Oct 21, 7:43 am, Boater wrote:
Tim wrote:
On Oct 21, 3:20 am, "Eisboch" wrote:
"Boater" wrote in message
...
Eisboch wrote:
Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
over McCain.
Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
lead.
Is there "change" in the air?
Eisboch
The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?
If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him. All
Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
votes. Game over.
If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. However, I agree, the
election is now his to lose.
I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
couple of weeks. How much is questionable.
On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
cycle. I suspect that bodes well for Obama.
It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.
Eisboch
Mac has a lead in a couple states as of yesterday. Ohio being one.
You think the McPalin Campaign of Hate and Division is going to carry
Ohio again?- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

"Hate and Division?"

C'mon Harry. I really don't think you even believe that..


I've watched McCain and Palin and seen their ads. Hate and Division is
all they have to offer.

..
--
A Harry Krause truism:

"It's not a *baby* kicking, beautiful bride, it's just a fetus!"
[A Narcissistic Hypocrite]